Rugby

Tennis

Pedro Martinez - Lorenzo Sonego: our prediction

14/04/2026•11:10

#41

Pedro Martinez

1:2

2•6

6•2

4•6

Finished

#22

Lorenzo Sonego

Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego Preview — Barcelona Open

A tight match is expected between Pedro Martinez, the bookmakers' favorite, and Lorenzo Sonego, a dangerous outsider. Recent statistics show a tendency for three-set matches for both players, especially outside Grand Slams. No injuries reported.

Our Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 matches outside Grand Slams show Pedro Martinez played 60% of his matches in 3 sets, and Lorenzo Sonego 50%. As a favorite, Martinez loses at least one set in 50% of cases. The odds of 1.56 for Over 2.5 sets offer good value.

2.38

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a three-set match (Over 2.5 sets) increases the likelihood of a high number of games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 24 games. The odds of 2.4 are attractive if the match is competitive.

Confidence

Medium

Victory for Pedro Martinez

Pedro Martinez is designated as the favorite (odds 1.56). His statistics as a favorite (70% wins) are solid. However, Sonego is a tough opponent, with 60% wins in his last 10 matches. Confidence is moderate due to the risk of a three-set match.

1.5

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Pedro Martinez	Lorenzo Sonego
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	80%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	80%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%