Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn — Prediction
13/04/2026
#20
Reilly Opelka
14:00
Today
#14
Ethan Quinn
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
First-round match in Barcelona between the experienced Reilly Opelka and the young Ethan Quinn. Quinn is the bookmakers' favorite, but Opelka, with his powerful serve, could cause problems. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Ethan Quinn to Win
Ethan Quinn is clearly the favorite (odds 1.51). His recent win statistics (70% in the last 10 matches) are superior to Opelka's (50%). He also has an excellent win rate (100%) when favored with odds between 1.21 and 1.5. No injuries disrupt his preparation.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Both players' statistics outside of Grand Slam tournaments show a strong tendency towards two-set matches. Both Opelka and Quinn have a 70% rate of matches in 2 sets in their last 10 matches. When favored, Quinn has 70% of matches in 2 sets and Opelka 60%. This suggests a match likely concluded in two sets.
1.58
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games
Even if the match is played in two sets, Opelka's powerful serve can lead to tight tie-breaks. Quinn, as the favorite, can lose a set (60% chance according to his 'perd1set_asfav' stats). A scenario of two tight sets (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) or a set lost by Quinn (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-3) could easily exceed the 22.5 games mark.
1.7
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 90% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 10% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 100% |
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