Lola Radivojevic - Rebecca Sramkova: our prediction

Both players have a 60% rate of matches in two sets in their last 10 non-Grand Slam matches. Sramkova, although favored, often loses a set as a favorite (70% of her matches). Radivojevic, as an underdog, often wins a set (60%). This suggests a potentially tight two-set match, or a three-set match. However, the combined probability leans towards under 2.5 sets.

If the match is played in two sets, tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games) would be needed to exceed 22.5. If the match goes to three sets, the total number of games very likely exceeds this limit. Given Sramkova's tendency to lose a set and Radivojevic's ability to win one as an underdog, a three-set match or tight two-set match is plausible, justifying a bet on over 22.5 games.

Sramkova is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.84 vs. 1.87). Her recent form is slightly better (40% win rate vs. 30% for Radivojevic). She also has a better performance as a favorite against similar odds (50% win rate with odds between 1.21 and 1.5, vs. 75% for Radivojevic, but on a different sample). However, her tendency to lose a set as a favorite makes this bet risky.