Colton Smith vs Garrett Johns — Prediction
14/04/2026•17:05
#189
Colton Smith
0:2
6•7
1•6
Finished
#93
Garrett Johns
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Colton Smith, the odds favorite, faces Garrett Johns in a hard court tournament in Tallahassee. Smith shows slightly better form (40% wins in the last 10 matches vs 30% for Johns) and better efficiency as a favorite. The match should be close, with a tendency for two-set matches for both players.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Historical data is clear: in the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches, Colton Smith finished 70% of his matches in two sets, Garrett Johns 80%. The percentage of three-set matches is low (30% for Smith, 20% for Johns). This match not being a Grand Slam, the probability of a two-set match (under 2.5 sets) is high.
1.58
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Statistics show a strong trend for two-set matches for both players (70% for Smith, 80% for Johns in the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches). A two-set match (e.g., 6-4, 6-3) typically yields 19 or 20 games. Even in three sets, if the sets are close, the total can remain under the threshold. The probability of a short match is high.
1.8
Confidence
High
Victory for Colton Smith
Colton Smith is the designated favorite (odds 1.61). In the last 10 matches, he has a win rate of 40% vs 30% for Johns. As a favorite, his win rate is 70% (7/10) vs 50% (5/10) for Johns. His recent form and efficiency as a favorite put him in a strong position. No injury alerts reported.
1.63
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 80% |
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