14/04/2026•22:20

#56

Valerio Aboian

2:0

6•2

6•0

Finished

#499

Thiago Cigarran

Match Preview

Valerio Aboian, favorite with odds of 1.32, faces Thiago Cigarran, underdog at 3.03. Aboian shows solid form as a favorite (70% wins) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (80%). Cigarran, less experienced, shows ability to win sets as an underdog. No injuries reported.

Our predictions

Victory for Valerio Aboian

Aboian is clearly the favorite (odds 1.32). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% wins. In his last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams), he won 80% in 2 sets, showing ability to dominate quickly. Cigarran has a low win rate (33%) and little experience as a favorite. No injuries disrupt this dynamic.

1.22

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Aboian has a strong tendency to finish matches in 2 sets (80% in his last 10 matches excluding Grand Slams). As a favorite, he loses a set in only 40% of cases. Cigarran, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 33% of cases, but against such a dominant favorite (Aboian with 80% wins in 2 sets), the probability of a 2-set match remains high.

1.4

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Valerio Aboian	Thiago Cigarran
Win \| Lose	3 7	1 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	16%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	0%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	20%	0%

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