Romain Arneodo vs Harri Heliovaara — Prediction
15/04/2026•16:15
Romain / Marc
2:1
6•7
6•4
10•5
Finished
Harri / Henry
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1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Romain Arneodo faces Harri Heliövaara at the Barcelona Open. Both players are in recent difficulty, with low win percentages in the last 10 matches. Heliövaara shows a slight statistical superiority, especially as a favorite where he is undefeated. The match should be tight, with a tendency for two-set matches for both players.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
The data is very clear: in non-Grand Slam matches, Arneodo finished 77.8% of his matches in two sets, Heliövaara 80%. The percentage of three-set matches is low (22.2% and 20%). This high statistical probability justifies a very high confidence level for Under 2.5 sets.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players have a strong tendency for two-set matches (77.8% for Arneodo, 80% for Heliövaara). A two-set match, potentially with tight sets but without systematic overrun, makes Under 22.5 likely. Quick win/loss statistics support this scenario.
1.83
Confidence
High
Victory for Harri Heliövaara
Heliövaara shows stronger statistics: 20% wins in the last 10 matches compared to 10% for Arneodo. He is undefeated (5/5) as a favorite and has better performance as an outsider (30% vs. 16.7%). His tendency to win matches in two sets (80%) is also an asset.
1.14
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 1 9 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 16% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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