Rugby

Tennis

Karolina Muchova - Coco Gauff: our prediction

17/04/2026•14:35

Karolina Muchova

2:1

6•3

5•7

6•3

Finished

Coco Gauff

Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff Preview — Porsche Tennis Grand Prix

Karolina Muchova faces Coco Gauff at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix. Gauff is the favorite with odds of 1.41, but Muchova has shown solid form recently. Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets.

Our Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Muchova has a 60% rate of 3-set matches in Grand Slams, and Gauff 40%. Outside Grand Slams, Gauff has a 60% rate of 3-set matches. Both players have a high ability to win at least one set as an outsider (70% each). With Muchova's high odds (2.82), a long match is likely.

2.6

Confidence

High

Victory of Coco Gauff

Gauff is the favorite (odds 1.41) and has a win rate of 70% in her last 10 matches, compared to 80% for Muchova. However, Gauff has an 80% win rate as a favorite, and her ranking is generally higher. Her recent form and consistency on this surface make her the logical favorite.

1.34

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

A three-set match (prediction 1) increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. The statistics of tight sets and both players' ability to win sets support this scenario. The odds of 1.90 offer good value for a bet with medium confidence.

2.26

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Karolina Muchova	Coco Gauff
Win \| Lose	8 2	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	100%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	80%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	33%