Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bu — Prediction
18/04/2026

#80

Alex Bolt
09:00
Today

#67

Yunchaokete Bu
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
ATP match in Busan between Alex Bolt (underdog) and Yunchaokete Bu (favorite). Statistics show a tendency for Bolt to play three-set matches, while Bu has a strong propensity to finish in two sets when favored. No known injury alerts.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Yunchaokete Bu is the favorite (odds 1.5) and shows a 90% rate of 2-set matches outside Grand Slams. Alex Bolt, although performing well in 3 sets, is the underdog and has only a 30% win rate in this role. The probability of a 2-set match is high.
1.54
Confidence
High
Victory for Yunchaokete Bu
Bu is clearly designated as the favorite by the bookmakers. His statistics as a favorite (60% overall wins, 80% 2-set matches) are solid. Bolt has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, but only 30% as an underdog, making Bu's victory more likely.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If the match plays out in 2 sets as expected (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games is very likely to stay under 22.5. Bu's statistics as a favorite (80% 2-set matches) suggest potentially one-sided sets, reducing the total number of games.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 20% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 71% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 28% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 75% |
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