Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun — Prediction
18/04/2026
#297
Sergey Fomin
06:30
Today
#244
Fajing Sun
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Sergey Fomin, the underdog, faces the favorite Fajing Sun in an ATP hard court match. Sun, with odds of 1.42, shows more solid form (70% recent wins) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (70%). Fomin, less consistent, can be dangerous but his poor performance as an underdog (20% wins) makes the task difficult.
Our predictions
Fajing Sun to Win
Fajing Sun is clearly the favorite (odds 1.42). His recent form is superior (70% wins in last 10 matches vs 60% for Fomin). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% wins). Facing an underdog like Fomin, who wins only 20% of the time in this role, the statistical logic strongly favors Sun.
1.4
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
This is not a Grand Slam match (best-of-3 sets format). The statistics of both players outside Grand Slams show a strong tendency for 2-set matches: Sun finishes 70% of his recent matches in 2 sets, Fomin 60%. Furthermore, when Sun is the favorite, he finishes in 2 sets 70% of the time. The probability of a 2-set match (i.e., under 2.5) is high.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 62% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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