Rugby

Tennis

Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils: our prediction

18/04/2026•16:10

#11

Rafael Jodar

1:2

6•3

3•6

2•6

Finished

Arthur Fils

Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Preview — Barcelona Open

Arthur Fils, the clear favorite (odds 1.63), faces Rafael Jodar in Barcelona. Fils shows solid form (8W/2L) and an excellent win rate as a favorite. Jodar, the underdog (odds 2.25), is in good form (9W/1L) but has less experience against opponents of this caliber. The match should be close, with a significant probability of seeing over 2.5 sets.

Our Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils predictions

Arthur Fils to Win

Arthur Fils is the designated favorite (odds 1.63) with excellent recent form (8 wins in last 10 matches). His statistics as a favorite are impeccable (100% wins in his last 10 matches in that role). Facing a less experienced opponent at this level, his consistency and quality should make the difference.

1.62

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Both players' statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Jodar, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 60% of his recent matches. Fils, although the favorite, loses at least one set in 40% of his recent matches as a favorite. The combination of Jodar's resilience and Fils' occasional tendency to drop a set makes this scenario very plausible.

2.25

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5) naturally increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 games mark. Even in a two-set scenario, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total can reach 22 games. The combination of a favorite who can drop a set and a combative underdog makes exceeding this threshold likely, but not certain.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Rafael Jodar	Arthur Fils
Win \| Lose	9 1	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	100%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	16%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	83%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	100%