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Roman Safiullin - Henrique Rocha: our prediction

18/04/2026•14:35

#39

Roman Safiullin

2:0

6•4

Finished

#21

Henrique Rocha

Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rocha Preview — Oeiras 3

Experienced Roman Safiullin faces young Henrique Rocha, the bookmakers' favorite. The match is played on clay in Oeiras. Rocha has shown more solid form recently, but Safiullin can be dangerous.

Our Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rocha predictions

Henrique Rocha to Win

Henrique Rocha is the clear favorite (odds 1.67). He shows a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Safiullin. As a favorite, his win rate is 70% (7/10). On non-Grand Slam surfaces, he wins 90% of his matches in 2 sets when favored, indicating an ability to finish quickly. No known injury alerts.

1.73

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics in non-Grand Slam matches strongly indicate a 2-set match. Rocha wins 90% of his matches in 2 sets as a favorite. Safiullin, as an underdog, also wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The combined percentage of 3-set matches is low (10% for Rocha, 30% for Safiullin as underdog). The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high.

1.55

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a 2-set match (6-4, 6-4 or similar score), the total number of games should stay under 22.5. Rocha's quick-set statistics (90% wins in 2 sets) support this scenario. However, Safiullin could win a set, which would increase the game count. Confidence is therefore medium, based on the dominant trend of 2-set conclusions.

1.82

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rocha

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rocha Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Roman Safiullin	Henrique Rocha
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	66%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	66%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	50%