Rugby

Tennis

Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton: our prediction

19/04/2026•13:40

Flavio Cobolli

0:2

2•6

5•7

Finished

Ben Shelton

Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton Preview — BMW Open

Ben Shelton, the betting favorite, faces Flavio Cobolli on clay at the BMW Open. Shelton, stronger on hard courts, must adapt to the surface. Cobolli, more comfortable on clay, looks to cause an upset. Recent stats show Shelton often wins in three sets outside Majors, while Cobolli often finishes his matches in two sets when favored. No injuries reported.

Our Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Ben Shelton (favorite) loses at least one set in 70% of his matches as favorite. Flavio Cobolli wins at least one set in 60% of his matches as underdog. Outside Majors, Shelton plays 70% of his matches in three sets, and Cobolli 30% in three sets. The probability of a three-set match is high.

2.14

Confidence

High

Ben Shelton to win

Shelton is the betting favorite (1.74). He has an 80% win rate as favorite in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Cobolli. Although clay is not his preferred surface, his power and serve can make the difference. Cobolli, although solid, has a lower win rate (70% overall) and is the underdog here.

1.88

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

A three-set match (main prediction) makes over 22.5 games likely. If each set is tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-7, 6-4), the total exceeds 22.5. However, if Shelton or Cobolli wins a set decisively, the total could be right around the limit. Shelton's tendency to play tight sets (70% loss of a set as favorite) supports this option.

1.64

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Flavio Cobolli	Ben Shelton
Win \| Lose	7 3	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	30%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	30%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%