Valentin Royer vs Roman Safiullin — Prediction
19/04/2026•14:10
#76
Valentin Royer
0:2
1•6
2•6
Finished
#39
Roman Safiullin
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Valentin Royer, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Roman Safiullin in an ATP match in Oeiras. Recent statistics show both players are in solid form (70% wins in the last 10 matches). Royer is very strong as a favorite, especially with odds between 1.21 and 1.5 (100% wins). Safiullin is more dangerous as an underdog. The match could be tight, with a significant probability of exceeding 2.5 sets.
Our predictions
Valentin Royer to Win
Royer is the designated favorite (odds 1.72). His statistics as a favorite are excellent: 70% win rate overall, and 100% wins when his odds are between 1.21 and 1.5 (6/6). His recent form is good (7W/3L). Safiullin, although solid, has a lower win rate as a favorite (50%) and is less effective against favorites in this odds range.
1.68
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Player statistics suggest a tight match. As a favorite, Royer loses at least one set in 50% of cases. Safiullin, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 40% of cases. Furthermore, the recent form of both players is similar (70% wins), indicating balanced competitiveness. The probability of a 3-set match is therefore high.
2.31
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 3-set match. A 3-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 total games. Even in a 2-set scenario, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total can exceed 22. Given the expected competitiveness and Royer's set loss statistics, exceeding 22.5 games is a realistic possibility.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 60% |
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