19/04/2026•15:30

Jelena / Shuai

0:1

0•2

1st Set

Nicole / Liudmila

Match Preview

Jelena Ostapenko, a former Grand Slam champion and top 20 player, faces Nicole Melichar, a doubles specialist who is far less accomplished in singles. Ostapenko is the clear favourite with odds of 1.58. Her power and experience on clay should make the difference. Melichar, struggling recently (1 win in 10), will find it hard to compete.

Our predictions

Jelena Ostapenko to Win

Ostapenko is the undisputed favourite. Her status as a former Grand Slam champion, her hitting power and recent form (4 wins in last 10 matches, vs 1/10 for Melichar) are major assets. Melichar, ranked much lower in singles and struggling, does not seem to have the weapons to cause an upset on clay.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

A match in two sets favours a low number of games. If Ostapenko dominates as expected, the sets could be relatively tight (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games) or even wider. Melichar's poor singles performance (10% recent win rate) suggests she could lose sets with a severe scoreline, pushing the total games under 22.5.

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Jelena Ostapenko	Nicole Melichar
Win \| Lose	4 6	1 9
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	12%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	0%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	40%	0%

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