Dalibor Svrcina - Alexander Vasilev: our prediction
20/04/2026•15:10

#108

Dalibor Svrcina
2:0
6•1
6•3
Finished

#796

Alexander Vasilev
-
1
-
X
-
2
Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexander Vasilev Preview — Rome
Dalibor Svrcina, clear favorite with odds of 1.09, faces Alexander Vasilev, outsider at 6.28. Svrcina shows solid form as a favorite (70% win rate) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (80%). Vasilev, although performing well as an outsider (50% win rate), faces a superior opponent. No known injury alerts. The match is played in Rome, likely on clay, the tournament's traditional surface.
Our Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexander Vasilev predictions
Victory for Dalibor Svrcina
Svrcina is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.09). His statistics as a favorite are excellent (70% win rate). He has a strong tendency to win his matches in 2 sets (80% outside Grand Slams). Vasilev, although combative as an outsider, has no recent history against such an overwhelming favorite. No reported injuries disrupt the favorite's logic.
1.09
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Svrcina finishes 80% of his matches (outside Grand Slams) in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate is 70%. Vasilev, when he is the favorite (rare), always wins in 2 sets (100%), but here he is a clear outsider. His ability to win a set against such a strong favorite is limited (0% set loss for Vasilev as a favorite, but tiny sample). The dynamics suggest a match in 2 sets.
1.25
Confidence
High
Market signals on Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexander Vasilev
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexander Vasilev Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 10% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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