Andrea Pellegrino vs Martin Damm — Prediction
20/04/2026
#131
Andrea Pellegrino
10:00
Today
#33
Martin Damm
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Andrea Pellegrino, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Martin Damm in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Pellegrino shows more solid form (60% wins in the last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (80%). Damm, less consistent, can be dangerous. The match could be tight.
Our predictions
Andrea Pellegrino to Win
Pellegrino is the clear favorite (odds 1.77). His statistics are better: 60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 50% for Damm. Crucially, when favored, his win rate reaches 80% (vs. 70% for Damm). His recent form and favorite status put him in a strong position.
1.77
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Both players have a high rate of matches in 2 sets when favored (60% each for 'en2set'). Pellegrino, as the favorite, tends to finish quickly (60% of his matches in 2 sets). Although Damm could win a set, the probability of a two-set match remains significant.
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Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 10% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 40% |
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