Rugby

Tennis

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Francesco Maestrelli: our prediction

20/04/2026•19:45

#121

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

2:0

6•4

Finished

#17

Francesco Maestrelli

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli Preview — Madrid Open, Qualification

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Francesco Maestrelli in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Recent statistics show a more solid form from Budkov Kjaer, with a higher win percentage and a strong tendency to finish his matches in two sets when favored. Maestrelli, struggling recently, will need to find his best level to cause an upset.

Our Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli predictions

Victory for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Budkov Kjaer is clearly favored (odds 1.64). His statistics over the last 10 matches are superior (50% wins vs 30% for Maestrelli). When favored (odds between 1.21 and 1.5), his win rate is 71.4%. Maestrelli has lost 70% of his last 10 matches. No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Player statistics in non-Grand Slam matches indicate a high probability of a two-set match. Budkov Kjaer finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets when favored. Maestrelli, for his part, finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets (in all situations). The combination of these trends suggests a short match.

1.55

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a two-set match. If Budkov Kjaer wins 2-0, a typical score like 6-4, 6-3 gives 19 games. Even in the case of a tight set, the total often remains below the 22.5 threshold. Maestrelli's recent form (70% losses) suggests he could concede breaks relatively early in the sets.

1.84

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrelli Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Francesco Maestrelli
Win \| Lose	5 5	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	25%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	40%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	60%

Betting actions

Manage your bets and alerts

TODAY'S OFFERS

Exclusive new customer offers