Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail — Prediction
20/04/2026
#92
Simona Waltert
10:00
Today
#128
Despina Papamichail
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Match Preview
Simona Waltert, clear favourite with odds at 1.22, faces Despina Papamichail in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Waltert shows solid form as a favourite (70% win rate) and a good percentage of matches in 2 sets (60%). Papamichail, the outsider (odds 3.96), performs well as a favourite (90%) but struggles against highly rated opponents. No injuries reported. The match should be dominated by Waltert, potentially in 2 sets.
Our predictions
Simona Waltert to win
Waltert is the clear favourite (odds 1.22). Her statistics as a favourite are solid (70% win rate). In the last 10 matches, she won 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Papamichail struggles against highly rated opponents (0% win rate when the opponent is priced between 1.0 and 1.2). Form and favourite status support a Waltert win.
1.22
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Waltert finishes 60% of her matches (outside Majors) in 2 sets. Papamichail, as an outsider, rarely wins a set against highly rated opponents (0% when the opponent is between 1.0 and 1.2). Also, Waltert as a favourite loses a set 50% of the time, but Papamichail's low ability to win a set against such odds suggests a match in 2 sets.
1.41
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a likely Waltert win in 2 sets, the total number of games should be limited. Waltert has a good percentage of wins in 2 sets, and Papamichail has shown difficulty winning sets against highly rated favourites. If Waltert controls the match, scores like 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) or 6-2, 6-3 (17 games) are plausible, staying under the 22.5 games threshold.
1.55
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 83% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 66% |
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