Rugby

Tennis

Kaitlin Quevedo - Venus Williams: our prediction

21/04/2026•17:20

#107

Kaitlin Quevedo

2:0

6•2

6•4

Finished

Venus Williams

Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williams Preview — Madrid Open

Kaitlin Quevedo, a young player in good form, faces the legendary 45-year-old Venus Williams, who is in decline. Recent statistics and odds clearly favor Quevedo. The match is played in Madrid on clay court.

Our Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williams predictions

Kaitlin Quevedo to Win

Quevedo is the heavy favorite (odds 1.20). Over the last 10 matches, she has a 50% win rate (vs 10% for Williams). As a favorite (odds 1.21-1.50), she wins 85.7% of the time. Williams, in clear decline (90% losses in last 10 matches), does not seem capable of causing an upset.

1.2

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Statistics from the last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) show that both players finish 70% of their matches in 2 sets. Quevedo, as a favorite, finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Given the disparity in form, a short match (2-0) is the most likely scenario.

1.36

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a likely Quevedo win in 2 sets, the total number of games should be limited. Williams, struggling, could lose sets tightly (e.g., 6-4, 6-3) or more widely. Quevedo's recent tendency to win her matches favors a total games under 22.5.

1.4

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williams

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williams Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Kaitlin Quevedo	Venus Williams
Win \| Lose	5 5	1 9
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	85%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	0%