Rugby

Tennis

Laura Siegemund - Irina-Camelia Begu: our prediction

21/04/2026•12:45

#21

Laura Siegemund

2:0

6•4

6•0

Finished

#27

Irina-Camelia Begu

Laura Siegemund vs Irina-Camelia Begu Preview — Madrid Open

Laura Siegemund, the favorite (odds 1.44), faces Irina-Camelia Begu (odds 2.70) at the Madrid Open. Siegemund shows solid form (80% win rate as favorite) but Begu is in excellent recent form (70% win rate in last 10 matches). Statistics suggest a tight match with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.

Our Laura Siegemund vs Irina-Camelia Begu predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Both players have high statistics for 3-set matches (Siegemund 40%, Begu 50% outside Majors). Begu, in great form (70% win rate), has a strong chance of winning a set. Siegemund, although the favorite, often loses a set (60% of the time as favorite). The setup is conducive to a three-set match.

2.63

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a three-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games) can approach the limit. Given the expected competitiveness and playing styles, the total number of games should be high.

2.34

Confidence

Medium

Victory for Laura Siegemund

Siegemund is designated as the favorite by the bookmakers (odds 1.44) and has a good win rate as favorite (80%). However, her recent form is mixed (40% win rate in last 10 matches) and she faces an opponent in very good form. Victory is likely but not assured, especially if the match goes to three sets.

1.44

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Laura Siegemund vs Irina-Camelia Begu

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Laura Siegemund vs Irina-Camelia Begu Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Laura Siegemund	Irina-Camelia Begu
Win \| Lose	4 6	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	40%