Rugby

Tennis

Talia Gibson - Emiliana Arango: our prediction

22/04/2026•15:30

#49

Talia Gibson

0:2

3•6

2•6

Finished

#36

Emiliana Arango

Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arango Preview — Madrid Open

Talia Gibson faces Emiliana Arango at the Madrid Open. Gibson, in better recent form (70% wins in the last 10 matches), is slightly favored according to the odds. Arango, designated as the favorite by the data, shows mixed statistics as a favorite. The match should be close, with a significant probability of going to three sets.

Our Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arango predictions

Talia Gibson to Win

Gibson displays superior form (70% wins in 10 matches vs. 40% for Arango). Her statistics as an outsider (50% wins) and her ability to win at least one set (70%) are solid. Arango, although the favorite on paper, has less convincing performances as a favorite (70% wins, but 40% chance of losing a set). The slightly favorable odds for Gibson reflect this dynamic.

1.81

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

The players' statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Gibson often wins at least one set as an outsider (70%), and Arango frequently loses a set as a favorite (40%). Their historical percentages of three-set matches (30% for Gibson, 50% for Arango outside Majors) support this assumption. A close two-set match is possible, but the trend leans towards three sets.

2.35

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

A three-set match increases the chances of exceeding 22.5 games. Even a close two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Given the probability of contested sets and the likely three-set scenario, the total number of games should be high. However, the possibility of a quick two-set match (under 22 games) exists, hence a medium confidence level.

2.1

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arango

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arango Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Talia Gibson	Emiliana Arango
Win \| Lose	7 3	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%