Rugby

Tennis

Shuai Zhang - Eva Lys: our prediction

22/04/2026•11:15

#10

Shuai Zhang

2:0

6•4

6•3

Finished

#38

Eva Lys

Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lys Preview — Madrid Open

The experienced but inconsistently performing Shuai Zhang faces the young Eva Lys, the clear bookmakers' favorite. The match is played in Madrid on clay, a surface that could favor consistency. Recent statistics show that Lys is more solid as a favorite, while Zhang struggles to pull off an upset.

Our Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lys predictions

Eva Lys to Win

Eva Lys is the logical favorite (odds 1.44). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (70% wins in the last 10 matches). Shuai Zhang has a low win rate as an outsider (10%) and recent poor form (4W/6L). No known injury alert contradicts this scenario.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Outside of Grand Slam tournaments, both players often finish their matches in 2 sets. Zhang has 80% of her matches as an outsider in 2 sets, Lys 60% as a favorite. Lys's odds suggest a relatively clear win. A match in 2 sets (2-0 or 0-2) is the most likely scenario.

1.49

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a favored scenario of a 2-0 win for Lys, the total number of games should remain moderate. If Lys dominates (2-0 with tight but not too tight sets, e.g., 6-4, 6-3), that's 19 games. Zhang can resist at times, but her poor form and difficulties as an outsider limit the likelihood of very tight sets or a third set. The 'Under' is consistent with the first two predictions.

1.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lys

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lys Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Shuai Zhang	Eva Lys
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	55%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%