Rugby

Tennis

Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin: our prediction

22/04/2026•18:45

#42

Ashlyn Krueger

0:2

6•7

4•6

Finished

Sofia Kenin

Ashlyn Krueger vs Sofia Kenin Preview — Madrid Open

Ashlyn Krueger, the favorite (odds 1.79), faces Sofia Kenin (odds 1.99) at the Madrid Open. Krueger shows better recent form (60% win rate in last 10 matches) compared to only 10% for Kenin. Statistics suggest a tight match, with a significant probability of both players winning a set.

Our Ashlyn Krueger vs Sofia Kenin predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Player statistics indicate a strong tendency for three-set matches. Krueger, as the favorite, loses at least one set in 60% of her matches. Kenin, as the underdog, wins at least one set in 50% of her matches. Their historical percentages of 3-set matches (outside Grand Slams) are 30% for Krueger and 40% for Kenin, reinforcing this probability.

2.35

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a three-set match. A match in two tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) totals 22 games, just below the limit. A three-set match almost always exceeds 22.5 games, even with non-close sets. Given our expectation of a contested match with multiple sets, the over is likely.

2.08

Confidence

Medium

Ashlyn Krueger to win

Krueger is designated the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.79) and shows significantly better form in her last 10 matches (6W-4L) compared to Kenin's disastrous form (1W-9L). However, Kenin's status as a former major champion and her ability to win sets as an underdog (50%) make this bet risky, hence medium confidence.

1.79

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Ashlyn Krueger vs Sofia Kenin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ashlyn Krueger vs Sofia Kenin Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Ashlyn Krueger	Sofia Kenin
Win \| Lose	6 4	1 9
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	57%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	40%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	50%