Marat Sharipov - Leandro Riedi: our prediction
21/04/2026•07:50
#123
Marat Sharipov
1:2
6•3
4•6
5•7
Finished
#120
Leandro Riedi
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1
-
X
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2
Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedi Preview — Gwangju
Leandro Riedi, the clear favorite (odds 1.34), faces Marat Sharipov (odds 3.02) in an ATP match in Gwangju. Riedi shows more solid form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 50% for Sharipov) and better efficiency as a favorite. No injury alerts reported. The match should be close but Riedi is in a stronger position.
Our Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedi predictions
Leandro Riedi to Win
Riedi is the designated favorite (odds 1.34) with superior recent form (6W/4L vs. 5W/5L for Sharipov). His statistics as a favorite are excellent: 100% win rate with odds between 1.0-1.2 and 70% overall win rate as a favorite. Sharipov wins only 20% of his matches as an underdog. The momentum and status clearly favor Riedi.
1.45
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Both players have a high rate of matches ending in 2 sets (70% each) in their last 10 non-Grand Slam matches. As a favorite, Riedi finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets. Sharipov, as an underdog, rarely wins a set (only 30% of the time). The probability of a match in two sets is therefore high.
1.52
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
With a high probability of a match in two sets (see previous analysis), the total number of games tends to be lower. If Riedi dominates as expected, tight but not extremely long sets are likely (e.g., 6-4, 6-3 = 19 games). Sharipov's statistic of winning a set only 30% of the time as an underdog supports this scenario.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedi
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedi Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 55% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 33% |
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