Hayato Matsuoka - Tristan Schoolkate: our prediction
21/04/2026•05:55

#231

Hayato Matsuoka
0:2
0•6
4•6
Finished

#82

Tristan Schoolkate
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1
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X
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2
Hayato Matsuoka vs Tristan Schoolkate Preview — Gwangju
Tristan Schoolkate is the clear favorite (odds 1.36) against Hayato Matsuoka (odds 2.9). Schoolkate shows superior form (70% win rate in last 10 matches) and excellent efficiency as a favorite (90%). Matsuoka, as the underdog, has shown the ability to win a set (60% of the time as an underdog). The match is likely to be decided in 2 sets.
Our Hayato Matsuoka vs Tristan Schoolkate predictions
Tristan Schoolkate to Win
Schoolkate is the favorite with a low odds of 1.36. His statistics are solid: 70% win rate in the last 10 matches and an impressive 90% win rate when favored. Against Matsuoka, who wins only 20% of his matches as an underdog, a Schoolkate victory is the most likely scenario.
1.38
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
When favored, Schoolkate finishes his matches in 2 sets 80% of the time. Matsuoka, as an underdog, loses in 2 sets 50% of the time. The probability of a match in 2 sets is high, supported by the dominant form of the favorite.
1.49
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
A match in 2 sets (likely scenario) reduces the total number of games. Schoolkate, as an efficient favorite, can impose a fast pace. However, Matsuoka has a notable ability (60%) to win a set as an underdog, which could lengthen the match. The balance tilts slightly towards the under, but with moderate confidence.
1.75
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Hayato Matsuoka vs Tristan Schoolkate
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Hayato Matsuoka vs Tristan Schoolkate Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 37% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 62% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 77% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 55% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 57% | 50% |
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