Cristian Garin vs Martin Damm — Prediction
21/04/2026
#6
Cristian Garin
11:00
Today
#33
Martin Damm
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Cristian Garin, the clear favorite (odds 1.40), faces young Martin Damm in the Madrid Open Masters 1000 qualifiers. Garin's experience and ranking on clay make him the heavy favorite, but Damm has shown an ability to win sets as an underdog.
Our predictions
Cristian Garin to Win
Garin is the designated favorite (odds 1.40) with a significant advantage in experience and ranking. His statistics as a favorite (70% wins) and on clay are solid. No known injury alert.
1.36
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
As a favorite, Garin finishes 50% of his matches in 2 sets. Damm, as an underdog, loses 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a match in 2 sets is therefore high, but Garin sometimes loses a set (50% chance).
1.53
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 10% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 40% |
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