21/04/2026

#111

Leolia Jeanjean

11:00

Today

#63

Rebeka Masarova

Match Preview

Madrid Open (WTA) qualification match between Leolia Jeanjean (underdog) and Rebeka Masarova (favorite). Masarova is a clear favorite according to the odds (1.42 vs. 2.69). Recent form statistics show a slight edge for Masarova (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 50% for Jeanjean). Set data suggests a potentially tight match, with a significant probability of seeing three sets.

Our predictions

Rebeka Masarova to Win

Masarova is the logical favorite (odds 1.42). She shows better recent form (60% wins vs. 50%) and a solid 70% win rate as a favorite. Jeanjean wins only 18% of her matches as an underdog. No injury alerts have been reported.

1.42

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets (Match to go to 3 sets)

Player statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. As a favorite, Masarova loses at least one set in 70% of her matches. As an underdog, Jeanjean wins at least one set in 45% of her matches. Furthermore, 40% of their recent matches (outside Majors) have been played in three sets.

2.42

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Leolia Jeanjean	Rebeka Masarova
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	27%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	28%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	54%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	57%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	40%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	33%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%

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