Jacopo Vasami vs Ferreira Frederico Silva — Prediction
21/04/2026

#408

Jacopo Vasami
11:30
Today

#95

Frederico Ferreira Silva
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Frederico Ferreira Silva, the favorite (odds 1.61), faces Jacopo Vasami (odds 2.16) in an ATP match in Rome. Recent statistics show that Silva has slightly better form (40% win rate vs. 30% for Vasami in the last 10 matches) and better efficiency as a favorite. Vasami, often the underdog, manages to win a set in 50% of cases, suggesting a potentially tight match.
Our predictions
Victory for Frederico Ferreira Silva
Silva is the clear favorite (odds 1.61) with better recent form (40% win rate vs. 30% for Vasami). His statistics as a favorite are solid (60% win rate). Vasami has a low win rate (30%) and struggles against favorites in this odds range.
1.59
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a high percentage of matches ending in 2 sets outside Grand Slams (Vasami 80%, Silva 60%). As a favorite, Silva finishes in 2 sets 70% of the time. Vasami, as an underdog, loses in 2 sets 60% of the time. The probability of a 2-set match is high.
1.53
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 42% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 57% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 71% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 57% |
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