22/04/2026

#168

Gianluca Cadenasso

11:30

Today

#408

Jacopo Vasami

Match Preview

Gianluca Cadenasso, the betting favorite, faces Jacopo Vasami in an ATP match in Rome. Cadenasso shows stronger form (60% win rate in last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (80% wins). Vasami, struggling (30% win rate), might find it tough. No known injury alerts. A two-set match is likely.

Our predictions

Gianluca Cadenasso to Win

Cadenasso is the clear favorite (odds 1.72). His recent form is superior (6W/4L vs 3W/7L for Vasami). He performs very well as a favorite (80% win rate in last 10 matches in that role). No injury reports. Vasami has a low win rate (30%) and struggles as a favorite (42.9%). Statistical logic and favorite status support a Cadenasso win.

1.72

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Player statistics for non-Grand Slam matches indicate a high probability of a two-set match. Cadenasso finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets, Vasami 80%. As favorites, their percentages of matches ending in 2 sets are 60% and 85.7% respectively. Vasami's inferior form and Cadenasso's strength as a favorite make a close three-set match less likely.

1.55

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Gianluca Cadenasso	Jacopo Vasami
Win \| Lose	6 4	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	42%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	71%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	80%	80%

Betting actions

Manage your bets and alerts

TODAY'S OFFERS

Exclusive new customer offers