Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Lepchenko: our prediction
22/04/2026•14:20
#49
Lucia Bronzetti
2:0
6•1
7•5
Finished
#21
Varvara Lepchenko
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko Preview — Oeiras 4
The higher-ranked and younger Lucia Bronzetti faces the experienced Varvara Lepchenko. Recent form statistics and odds slightly favor Lepchenko, but Bronzetti has a high percentage of two-set wins when favored. No injuries reported.
Our Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko predictions
Match in 2 sets (Under 2.5 sets)
Both players have a high percentage of two-set matches (70% for Bronzetti, 60% for Lepchenko in the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches). When favored, Bronzetti wins 70% of her matches in two sets and Lepchenko 80%. The probability of a three-set match is lower.
1.52
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a two-set match (prediction 1), the total number of games tends to be lower. If one player dominates (as suggested by the Lepchenko victory prediction), the sets could be relatively tight but not necessarily very long. The combination 'match in two sets' and 'victory of a favorite' often supports a total games under 22.5.
1.6
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Varvara Lepchenko
Lepchenko is designated as the favorite by the odds (odd2=1.82). Her recent form is better (6 wins vs 3 losses in the last 10 matches, compared to 3W/7L for Bronzetti). She also has a higher win percentage as a favorite (60% vs 40% for Bronzetti). Her experience could make the difference.
1.82
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 50% |
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