Rugby

Tennis

Leylah Fernandez - Julia Grabher: our prediction

23/04/2026•18:35

#22

Leylah Fernandez

2:0

6•2

6•3

Finished

#84

Julia Grabher

Leylah Fernandez vs Julia Grabher Preview — Madrid Open

Leylah Fernandez, the clear favorite (odds 1.16), faces Julia Grabher (odds 5.19) at the Madrid Open. Fernandez, more experienced and in better recent form, is heavily favored. Statistics indicate a high probability of a two-set match.

Our Leylah Fernandez vs Julia Grabher predictions

Victory for Leylah Fernandez

Fernandez is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.16). Her recent form (50% wins in 10 matches) and superior experience against Grabher (30% wins) put her in a strong position. No known injury alerts.

1.18

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)

Fernandez has won 70% of her recent matches as favorite in 2 sets. Grabher, as favorite, also has 70% of her wins in 2 sets. The difference in level and the odds suggest a short match.

1.34

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of a two-set match, the total number of games should be limited. If Fernandez dominates (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total will remain under 22.5 games.

1.41

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Leylah Fernandez vs Julia Grabher

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Leylah Fernandez vs Julia Grabher Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Leylah Fernandez	Julia Grabher
Win \| Lose	5 5	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	12%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	12%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	16%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	83%	100%

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