22/04/2026

#234

Andrea Guerrieri

10:00

Today

#109

Arthur Fery

Match Preview

Andrea Guerrieri, a slight favorite, faces Arthur Fery in an ATP match in Rome. Recent statistics show a slightly better form from Fery (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs 40% for Guerrieri). Guerrieri is very solid as a favorite in 2-set matches (100% over 4 matches), while Fery tends to lose a set when favored (70%). No injury information available.

Our predictions

Andrea Guerrieri to Win

Guerrieri is designated as the favorite (odds 1.82). His statistics as a favorite are excellent: 100% wins in 2 sets in his last 4 matches as a favorite (non-Grand Slam). Although his overall form (40% wins) is lower than Fery's, his ability to close out matches quickly when favored is a major asset. No injuries reported.

1.82

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Both players have a 60% rate of 2-set matches in their last 10 matches (non-Grand Slam). Guerrieri, as a favorite, has a 100% win rate in 2 sets. Fery, as a favorite, often loses a set (70%), but this concerns matches where he is favored. Here, he is the underdog. The general trend and Guerrieri's solidity as a favorite point towards a 2-set match.

1.55

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Andrea Guerrieri	Arthur Fery
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	20%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	75%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	25%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	50%

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