Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimova — Prediction
22/04/2026

#15

Anhelina Kalinina
15:00
Today

#61

Kamilla Rakhimova
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Match Preview
Anhelina Kalinina, the designated favorite, faces Kamilla Rakhimova at the Madrid Open. Kalinina shows solid form with an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Rakhimova is at 50%. Statistics suggest a tight match, with a high probability of the match going beyond two sets.
Our predictions
Victory for Anhelina Kalinina
Kalinina is the favorite (odds 1.56) with excellent recent form (80% win rate in last 10 matches). She has an 83.3% win rate when favored with similar odds (1.21-1.50). Rakhimova, although competitive, has a lower win rate (50%) and less convincing performance as an outsider.
1.87
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Player statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Kalinina loses at least one set as a favorite in 50% of cases. Rakhimova wins at least one set as an outsider in 40% of cases. Their percentages of 3-set matches (outside Majors) are both at 50%, supporting this prediction.
2.38
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) makes 'over 22.5 games' likely. A tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) totals 24 games. A three-set match, even with an easy set, often exceeds this mark. Given the competitive profile of the players, a high total games count is plausible.
2.2
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 10% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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