Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkina — Prediction
22/04/2026
#98
Daria Snigur
12:30
Today
#8
Daria Kasatkina
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Daria Kasatkina, seeded and significantly higher-ranked, faces Daria Snigur at the Madrid Open. Kasatkina is the logical favorite with odds at 1.41, but her recent stats show a tendency to lose sets as a favorite. Snigur, in good form with 90% wins in her last 10 matches, could offer resistance.
Our predictions
Daria Kasatkina to Win
Kasatkina is the higher-ranked player and the designated favorite (odds 1.41). Although her recent form is not optimal (40% wins in the last 10 matches), her status and experience on the WTA tour should make the difference against Snigur, who plays at a lower level.
1.4
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics indicate a high probability of a 3-set match. Kasatkina loses 1 set in 80% of her matches as a favorite (perd1set_asfav_g: 80%). Snigur, on the other hand, wins at least 1 set in 70% of her matches as an outsider (win1set_asoutsider_g: 70%). The combination of these trends suggests a tight match with over 2 sets.
2.4
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) naturally increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 games threshold. Even in a 2-set scenario, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total number of games could reach 22. Kasatkina's tendency to play tight sets as a favorite and Snigur's ability to resist support this hypothesis.
2.2
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 9 1 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 14% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 80% |
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