Janice Tjen vs Alina Charaeva — Prediction
22/04/2026
#33
Janice Tjen
14:30
Today
#117
Alina Charaeva
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
A tight match between Janice Tjen and Alina Charaeva at the Madrid Open. The odds are perfectly balanced (1.88 each), reflecting an undecided encounter. Charaeva, slightly favored on paper, shows better recent form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 40% for Tjen) and superior efficiency as a favorite. Tjen, however, is formidable in two sets when she is the underdog. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show a strong trend towards two-set matches: Janice Tjen finished 80% of her matches in 2 sets, and Alina Charaeva 60%. Furthermore, Tjen has a 100% rate of matches in 2 sets when she is the underdog. With equal odds, a tight match in two sets is the most likely scenario.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in two sets (Under 2.5 sets). A tight match in two sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) totals 20 games. Even with a tie-break, the total often remains under 22.5. The players' trends (Tjen 80% matches in 2 sets, Charaeva efficient as a favorite) support a scenario of a relatively short match in terms of games.
1.63
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Alina Charaeva
Alina Charaeva is designated as the favorite ('fav' field: 'away') and shows superior recent form (60% wins vs. 40%). Her win rate as a favorite is excellent (90% in the last 10 matches). Although the odds are equal, her consistency and status as a slight favorite give her a psychological and statistical advantage.
1.91
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 33% |
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