Eri Hozumi vs Cristina Bucsa — Prediction
24/04/2026
Eri / Fang-Hsien
11:00
Tomorrow
Cristina / Nicole
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
First round match of the Madrid Open between Eri Hozumi and Cristina Bucsa. Bucsa, the favorite, shows superior recent form with a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to Hozumi's 20%. The match is played on clay, Bucsa's preferred surface.
Our predictions
Victory for Cristina Bucsa
Cristina Bucsa is the clear favorite in this match. She has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to Hozumi's 20%. Additionally, Bucsa has an excellent record as a favorite (80% wins), while Hozumi has a very low win rate as an underdog (20%). The clay surface also favors Bucsa.
1.32
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
This bet is consistent with the previous one. Bucsa finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams) and Hozumi 70%. The probability of the match going to 3 sets is low, especially with Bucsa as favorite. A 2-set match is therefore the most likely scenario.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Statistics show that Bucsa often finishes her matches in 2 sets (80% of her non-Grand Slam matches), and Hozumi as well (70%). Furthermore, as Bucsa is heavily favored, she is likely to win easily without needing a third set, which would limit the total number of games.
1.44
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 14% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 37% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 33% |
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