23/04/2026•16:55

Elise / Shuai

0:0

16:55

Sorana / Anna

Match Preview

First round match of the Madrid Open between Elise Mertens and Sorana Cirstea. Both players are in form, but Cirstea has a higher recent win percentage (70% vs 50%). Mertens is more effective as a favorite, while Cirstea tends to perform as an underdog.

Our predictions

Victory for Sorana Cirstea

Cirstea has an overall win rate of 70% in her last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Mertens. Additionally, as a favorite, Cirstea wins 80% of her matches, while Mertens only wins 70%.

2.15

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Elise Mertens	Sorana Cirstea
Win \| Lose	5 5	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	33%

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