Xinyu Jiang vs Katie Boulter — Prediction
24/04/2026
Xinyu / Yifan
11:00
Tomorrow
Katie / Venus
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Xinyu Jiang faces Katie Boulter in the first round of the Madrid Open. Boulter, the favorite, has a solid record on clay and superior recent form. Jiang, struggling, will try to cause an upset.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that Katie Boulter finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets and Xinyu Jiang 87.5%. The probability of this match going to 3 sets is low. With Boulter being the heavy favorite, a 2-set match is very likely.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Katie Boulter tends to win her matches in 2 sets (60% of her non-Grand Slam matches) and Xinyu Jiang has an 87.5% rate of matches in 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is high, limiting the total number of games. Additionally, Boulter is the favorite and should dominate.
1.7
Confidence
High
Victory for Katie Boulter
Katie Boulter is the heavy favorite with an 80% win rate when favored. She has won 4 of her last 10 matches and shows good form on clay. Xinyu Jiang has a low win rate of 12.5% and has won only one of her last 8 matches. The gap in level is significant.
1.3
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 1 7 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 33% |
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