Coco Gauff vs Irina Khromacheva — Prediction
23/04/2026
Coco / Robin
15:30
Today
Irina / Giuliana
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X
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Match Preview
Coco Gauff faces Irina Khromacheva in the first round of the Madrid Open. Gauff, the favorite, has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Khromacheva has 30%. Gauff tends to play 3-set matches (60% outside Grand Slams), while Khromacheva often finishes in 2 sets (70%).
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Irina Khromacheva finishes 70% of her matches in 2 sets, while Coco Gauff, as a favorite, wins in 2 sets in 50% of cases. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is therefore high, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Irina Khromacheva finishes 70% of her matches in 2 sets, suggesting quick matches. Additionally, Coco Gauff, as a favorite, tends to win in 2 sets in 50% of cases. The combination of these factors makes a match with under 22.5 games likely.
1.8
Confidence
High
Victory for Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff is the heavy favorite with a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches. She is seeded and playing on a surface that suits her. Irina Khromacheva has only a 30% win rate and has lost 7 of her last 10 matches. Gauff also has a good record as a favorite (70% wins).
1.5
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 25% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 60% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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