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Tennis

Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex Michelsen: our prediction

24/04/2026•11:05

#19

Jan-Lennard Struff

0:2

2•6

1•6

Finished

Alex Michelsen

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen Preview — Madrid Open

Jan-Lennard Struff faces Alex Michelsen in the first round of the 2026 Madrid Open on clay. Struff, the favorite with odds of 1.81, will look to impose his powerful serve. Michelsen, the underdog at 1.97, relies on his consistency to cause an upset.

Our Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen predictions

Over 22.5 games in the match

Both players tend to play tight matches. Struff often loses a set as a favorite (60% of his matches) and Michelsen has a high rate of 3-set matches (40% outside Grand Slams). With powerful serves but some inconsistency, the match should exceed 22.5 games.

1.75

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Outside of Grand Slam tournaments, both players have a 60% rate of 2-set matches. Struff has 60% of matches in 2 sets and Michelsen also 60%. This suggests a significant probability that the match ends in straight sets, especially if one of them takes an early lead.

1.62

Confidence

Medium

Victory for Alex Michelsen

Michelsen has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to only 30% for Struff. As a favorite, Struff has won only 40% of his matches, while Michelsen has won 80% when favored. Struff shows recent signs of weakness, and Michelsen, despite being an underdog, is in good form.

2.1

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Jan-Lennard Struff	Alex Michelsen
Win \| Lose	3 7	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	71%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	40%