Marie Bouzkova vs Anhelina Kalinina — Prediction
23/04/2026
#24
Marie Bouzkova
14:00
Today
#15
Anhelina Kalinina
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X
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2
Match Preview
Marie Bouzkova, the designated favorite, faces Anhelina Kalinina at the Madrid Open. Bouzkova shows solid form with 70% wins in her last 10 matches and excellent performance as a favorite (80%). Kalinina, although slightly better in the recent period (80% wins), is less effective as an underdog. No injuries reported. The match should be tight, with a slight edge for Bouzkova.
Our predictions
Marie Bouzkova to Win
Marie Bouzkova is the favorite (odds 1.78). Over the last 10 matches, she has a win rate of 70% and, crucially, an 80% win rate when favored. Anhelina Kalinina, although in form (80% wins), has only a 40% win rate as an underdog. Bouzkova also has a higher percentage of matches in 2 sets (80%) when favored, suggesting a relatively clear win.
1.77
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Marie Bouzkova, as a favorite, finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Anhelina Kalinina, as an underdog, finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Additionally, Bouzkova has a low percentage of matches going to 3 sets (20%) when favored. Statistics indicate a high probability of the match ending in two sets.
1.52
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
With a high probability of a match in 2 sets, the total number of games tends to be lower. If Bouzkova wins in two tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4), the total would be 20 games. Even with a tighter set, the total often remains under 22.5. Bouzkova's tendency to win her matches in two sets (80% as a favorite) supports this bet.
1.71
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 37% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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