Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren — Prediction
24/04/2026•04:10
#128
Yuta Shimizu
0:2
6•7
4•5
2nd Set
#66
August Holmgren
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Match of the Gwangju tournament between Yuta Shimizu and August Holmgren. Holmgren is the favorite with odds at 1.39, Shimizu is the underdog at 2.74. Holmgren has a higher win rate (60% vs 50%) and performs better as a favorite (70% wins). The match is played outdoors, surface not specified.
Our predictions
Victory of August Holmgren
Holmgren is the favorite and has an overall win rate of 60% compared to 50% for Shimizu. As a favorite, he wins 70% of his matches, a major advantage. Shimizu, as an underdog, only wins 30% of the time. The odds of 1.39 are consistent with these statistics.
1.43
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
This bet is consistent with the under 22.5 games. Holmgren wins 60% of his matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams) and Shimizu 50%. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is high, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets.
1.53
Confidence
Medium
Under 22.5 games in the match
Holmgren, as a favorite, finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams). Shimizu, as an underdog, sees 50% of his matches end in 2 sets. The trend is towards a relatively short match, especially since Holmgren is dominant as a favorite.
1.78
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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