Elise Mertens vs Mirra Andreeva — Prediction
25/04/2026•16:40
Elise / Shuai
0:2
5•7
3•6
Finished
Mirra / Diana
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Elise Mertens faces Mirra Andreeva at the Madrid Open. Mertens, favorite with odds of 1.59, has a 50% win rate in her last 10 matches, while Andreeva, underdog at 2.28, boasts 80% wins. The match is on clay, Mertens' preferred surface.
Our predictions
Victory for Mirra Andreeva
Andreeva has an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to Mertens' 50%. She also performs very well as an underdog (60% wins) and has a good record on clay. Mertens, despite being favorite, has shown signs of weakness recently.
2.42
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Mertens has finished 70% of her matches in 2 sets, and Andreeva 50%. As a favorite, Mertens wins 90% of her matches in 2 sets. Both players tend to finish matches quickly, especially Mertens on clay.
1.59
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 2-set match (especially if Mertens wins), the total number of games should be under 22.5. Mertens as a favorite tends to dominate quickly, limiting the number of games.
1.59
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 9 1 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 42% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
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