Yuki Bhambri vs Alexander Erler — Prediction
26/04/2026•19:10
Yuki / Michael
2:0
7•5
7•6
Finished
Alexander / Lucas
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Madrid Open match between Yuki Bhambri and Alexander Erler. The two players are level according to the odds (1.87 each). Bhambri has a 30% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Erler is at 20%. Bhambri performs better as a favorite (100% wins), while Erler struggles in this role (50%). The match is played on an unspecified surface, but statistics indicate a high probability of being decided in 2 sets.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets
Both players have a very high percentage of matches ending in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams: Bhambri 80% and Erler 100%. The match is not a Grand Slam, so the probability of seeing under 2.5 sets is extremely high.
1.87
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games
With a very high probability that the match ends in 2 sets, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Both players tend to play tight but short matches, which reinforces this prediction.
1.87
Confidence
High
Victory of Alexander Erler
Although Bhambri has a better overall win rate (30% vs 20%), Erler has a psychological advantage as an underdog with a 20% win rate in this role, compared to 30% for Bhambri. Additionally, Erler has never lost a set as an underdog (100% of matches in 2 sets), showing some effectiveness. With balanced odds, a bet on Erler offers interesting value.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 75% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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