Marcelo Melo vs Luciano Darderi — Prediction
26/04/2026•15:40


Marcelo / Alexander
0:2
5•7
4•6
Finished


Luciano / Stefanos
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Madrid Open match between Marcelo Melo and Luciano Darderi. Melo is the favorite with odds of 1.37, but he hasn't won any of his last 2 matches. Darderi, underdog at 2.96, shows mixed recent form (5 wins in 10 matches). The match is played on clay.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
This bet is consistent with the under 22.5 games. Melo won his only non-Grand Slam match in 2 sets. Darderi has 50% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is high.
2.96
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Melo has played 1 non-Grand Slam match and won it in 2 sets (100% in 2 sets). Darderi has 50% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. With Melo as favorite and his tendency to win quickly, the match should be short.
2.96
Confidence
High
Victory for Marcelo Melo
Melo is the logical favorite with low odds. Although he has no recent wins, his favorite status and lack of injury information make him solid. Darderi has a 50% win rate but as an underdog, he has only won 40% of his matches.
1.36
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 2 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 33% |
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