Alejandro Tabilo vs Harri Heliovaara — Prediction
26/04/2026•12:55
Alejandro / Learner
0:2
5•7
5•7
Finished
Harri / Henry
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Alejandro Tabilo faces Harri Helioevaara at the Madrid Open. Tabilo is the favorite with odds of 1.14, while Helioevaara is the underdog at 5.42. Tabilo has a 50% win rate in his last 10 matches, but is very solid as a favorite (90% wins). Helioevaara has a low overall win rate (20%) but has performed well as a favorite (100% in 5 matches). The match is played outdoors, surface not specified.
Our predictions
Victory for Harri Helioevaara
Helioevaara is the heavy favorite with very low odds (1.14), reflecting his superiority. He has a perfect win rate as a favorite (100% in 5 matches) and has never lost a set as a favorite. Tabilo, while competitive, has only a 50% win rate and has lost 40% of his matches as a favorite. The odds logic and Helioevaara's statistics as a favorite strongly point to his victory.
1.14
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games in the match
With a match expected to end in straight 2 sets (see previous bet), the total number of games should be low. Helioevaara is a player who quickly dominates his opponents when favored. A typical score of 6-3, 6-4 would yield 19 games, well under 22.5. The likelihood of the match exceeding 22.5 games is low.
1.14
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Helioevaara, as a favorite, has never lost a set (0% set losses as favorite in 5 matches). Tabilo, as an underdog, has a 50% rate of matches in 2 sets. Combined with Helioevaara's expected dominance, the match should end in straight 2 sets. Moreover, 80% of Helioevaara's non-Grand Slam matches ended in 2 sets.
1.14
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 85% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 16% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers