Mirra Andreeva - Anna Bondar: our prediction
27/04/2026•15:05
#1
Mirra Andreeva
2:1
6•7
6•3
7•6
Finished
#51
Anna Bondar
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar Preview — Madrid Open
Mirra Andreeva, heavy favorite, faces Anna Bondar in the first round of the Madrid Open. Andreeva is in excellent form with 90% wins in her last 10 matches, while Bondar has 80% wins but starts as an underdog. The surface is clay, favorable to Andreeva.
Our Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar predictions
Victory for Mirra Andreeva
Andreeva is the logical favorite with odds at 1.2. She has won 90% of her recent matches and 100% of her matches as a favorite with similar odds. Bondar, despite 80% wins, has a low win rate as an underdog (20%) and has won only one of three matches against favorites priced between 1.0 and 1.2.
1.2
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Both players tend to finish their matches in two sets outside of Grand Slams: Andreeva 60% and Bondar 70%. Andreeva, as a heavy favorite, has not lost a set in 6 matches with similar odds. Bondar, as an underdog, has lost in two sets in 60% of her matches. A two-set match is therefore very likely.
1.38
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given the high probability of a two-set match and the expected dominance of Andreeva, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Andreeva tends to win her matches easily as a favorite, and Bondar struggles to win sets against favorites of this caliber. A typical score like 6-3, 6-2 (17 games) or 6-4, 6-3 (19 games) is plausible.
1.49
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 9 1 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 42% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 75% |
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