Sara Errani vs Laura Siegemund — Prediction
26/04/2026•13:20
Sara / Jasmine
1:2
6•4
4•6
6•10
Finished
Laura / Vera
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1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
First round match of the Madrid Open between Sara Errani and Laura Siegemund. Errani is the favorite with odds of 1.60, but Siegemund has a better recent win percentage (40% vs 20%). Both players have a high rate of 3-set matches outside Grand Slams (50% each).
Our predictions
Laura Siegemund Victory
Siegemund has a recent win rate of 40% compared to Errani's 20%. Additionally, Siegemund wins 30% of her matches as an underdog, while Errani only wins 10%. Errani has lost 80% of her recent matches, which is a very negative sign.
2.04
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a 50% rate of 3-set matches outside Grand Slams. Errani has 50% of her matches in 3 sets, Siegemund as well. Additionally, Siegemund has 60% of her matches in 3 sets when she is an underdog, and Errani 40%. The match promises to be tight.
2.38
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), the number of games should exceed 22.5. Both players tend to play tight matches, and Siegemund as an underdog tends to push her matches to 3 sets, increasing the game count.
4.5
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
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