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Tennis

Tereza Valentova - Sloane Stephens: our prediction

27/04/2026•12:50

#42

Tereza Valentova

2:0

6•4

6•1

Finished

Sloane Stephens

Tereza Valentova vs Sloane Stephens Preview — Saint-Malo

Match of the WTA tournament in Saint-Malo between Tereza Valentova and Sloane Stephens. Valentova is the favorite with odds of 1.28, while Stephens is the underdog at 3.52. Valentova has a 70% win rate as a favorite, but has lost 1 set in 60% of her matches as a favorite. Stephens has a 40% win rate as a favorite and has lost 1 set in 70% of her matches as a favorite. The match is played on an unspecified surface, but statistics indicate a tendency towards 2-set matches for Stephens (80%) and 3-set matches for Valentova (40%).

Our Tereza Valentova vs Sloane Stephens predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics show that Stephens has an 80% rate of 2-set matches (outside Grand Slams), and Valentova has a 60% rate. The probability of the match going to 3 sets is therefore low. Stephens has only a 20% rate of 3-set matches, and Valentova 40%. Moreover, as a favorite, Stephens has a 90% rate of 2-set matches, which reinforces the probability of a 2-set match.

1.38

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Stephens has an 80% rate of 2-set matches (outside Grand Slams), suggesting short matches. Valentova has a 60% rate of 2-set matches. Combined, this indicates a high probability that the match will end in 2 sets, limiting the total number of games. Additionally, both players tend to lose 1 set as favorites, but Stephens has a 90% rate of 2-set matches as a favorite, reinforcing the idea of a quick match.

1.38

Confidence

High

Victory of Tereza Valentova

Valentova is clearly favored with odds of 1.28, and she has a 70% win rate as a favorite. Stephens has a win rate of only 40% as a favorite, suggesting she underperforms when expected. Valentova also has a good record as a favorite with similar odds (66.67% wins between 1.21 and 1.5). Stephens, on the other hand, has a 60% win rate as an underdog against opponents priced between 1.21 and 1.5, but this does not compensate for the difference in ranking and form.

1.29

Confidence

High

Market signals on Tereza Valentova vs Sloane Stephens

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tereza Valentova vs Sloane Stephens Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Tereza Valentova	Sloane Stephens
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	42%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	25%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%