Rugby

Tennis

Emiliana Arango - Daria Kasatkina: our prediction

28/04/2026•14:35

#36

Emiliana Arango

1:2

2•6

6•3

6•7

Finished

Daria Kasatkina

Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina Preview — La Bisbal

Match of the La Bisbal tournament between Emiliana Arango and Daria Kasatkina. Kasatkina is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.38, while Arango is the underdog at 2.87. Statistics show Arango has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Kasatkina. However, Kasatkina has a better record as a favorite (40% wins) and Arango struggles as an underdog (20% wins). The match is played on an unspecified surface, but data indicates a trend towards tight matches, with 60% of Kasatkina's non-Grand Slam matches going to 3 sets.

Our Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina predictions

Victory for Daria Kasatkina

Kasatkina is the logical favorite with low odds at 1.38. She has a better record as a favorite (40% wins) and Arango has a low win rate as an underdog (20%). Additionally, Kasatkina has a 75% win rate when favored with odds between 1.21 and 1.5, which matches this match. Arango has lost 60% of her last 10 matches.

1.38

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics show a high probability of a 3-set match. Kasatkina has 60% of her non-Grand Slam matches ending in 3 sets, and Arango has 50% of her matches in 3 sets. Additionally, as a favorite, Kasatkina loses a set in 80% of her matches, suggesting Arango could win a set. The odds of 2.87 for over 2.5 sets are attractive.

2.5

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Although the match could go to 3 sets, the scores could be tight. Kasatkina tends to lose a set, but games could remain limited. The odds of 1.38 for under 22.5 games are low, but reflect a reasonable probability. However, with 60% of Kasatkina's matches in 3 sets, the number of games could exceed 22.5, making this bet risky.

1.57

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Emiliana Arango vs Daria Kasatkina Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Emiliana Arango	Daria Kasatkina
Win \| Lose	4 6	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	20%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	25%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	80%

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